Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 7.464040 8.708928 10.051790 11.602614 13.338634 15.216484 17.395614
2025-04-13 5.913278 7.522880 9.375526 11.647086 14.337673 17.403090 21.138654
2025-04-20 4.998566 6.840373 9.077447 11.956004 15.520157 19.745512 25.086856
2025-04-27 4.289452 6.268628 8.790119 12.173278 16.522743 21.852392 28.794596
2025-05-04 3.653948 5.683630 8.387705 12.157696 17.171173 23.496654 31.953876
2025-05-11 2.970171 4.928589 7.659731 11.616538 17.056336 24.116604 33.794483
2025-05-18 2.524348 4.445896 7.239278 11.427169 17.354839 25.238524 36.277323
2025-05-25 2.133504 3.988438 6.797963 11.152264 17.489332 26.113766 38.431513
2025-06-01 1.838478 3.638978 6.473986 11.005458 17.770497 27.171065 40.837725
2025-06-08 1.557554 3.271762 6.080667 10.712477 17.804853 27.864252 42.743921
2025-06-15 1.392012 3.080205 5.943463 10.791681 18.375143 29.315683 45.730984
2025-06-22 1.220646 2.853072 5.722754 10.715569 18.695285 30.405582 48.226690
2025-06-29 1.101517 2.709917 5.632528 10.844689 19.338074 31.993272 51.495613
2025-07-06 0.995183 2.576300 5.544401 10.966130 19.966926 33.573724 54.792768
2025-07-13 0.929314 2.516235 5.580932 11.295793 20.934812 35.685878 58.919854
2025-07-20 0.856128 2.429613 5.558971 11.518945 21.734325 37.561344 62.740277
2025-07-27 0.763507 2.285280 5.413043 11.510737 22.147854 38.850665 65.711368
2025-08-03 0.629048 2.019767 5.003060 10.995581 21.684770 38.753913 66.575553
2025-08-10 0.544879 1.859971 4.786544 10.815541 21.771807 39.512636 68.750774
2025-08-17 0.464437 1.693512 4.537408 10.552975 21.697355 40.002359 70.512624
2025-08-24 0.403724 1.567384 4.359967 10.412724 21.824713 40.813163 72.785554
2025-08-31 0.341051 1.421398 4.121538 10.132527 21.683920 41.173791 74.349166
2025-09-07 0.308389 1.357825 4.063236 10.208334 22.186377 42.605317 77.641297